A new poll has predicted Labour will win a historic 194-seat majority in the House of Commons.
The poll, conducted by YouGov for Sky News, predicts Labour will win a total of 422 seats in July’s General Election, an increase of 222 seats from the results of the 2019 election.
The Conservative Party are on course to lose 232 seats, winning just 140, the poll results predict.
If accurate, such a result would see a much bigger Labour landslide than that won by Tony Blair in 1997, and it would be the highest number of Commons seats won by any party in a British General Election since 1924.
Tony Blair commanded a majority of 179 seats following the 1997 election.
The poll predicts a total vote share for Sir Kier Starmer’s party of 42.9% compared to the Conservatives’ 24.5%.
The results are based on the polling of 53,334 people in England and Wales and 5,541 in Scotland, between May 24 and June 1.
Voters in Northern Ireland were not included in the poll.
The results also predict a rise of 40 seats for the Liberal Democrats, bringing their Westminster tally to 48 seats.
In Scotland, the SNP seat total is predicted to fall by 31 seats to 17.
The predicted vote share for Nigel Farage’s Reform Party is 10.1%
This projection, which models how each individual constituency would vote, implies the following vote shares: Con 24.5%, Lab 42.9%, Lib Dem 10.6%, Reform 10.1%, Green 6.7%, SNP 2.8%, Plaid 0.7%, Others 1.7%.
Under the poll’s projection, previous government ministers under threat of losing their Westminster seats include chancellor Jeremy Hunt, justice secretary David Davies and Welsh secretary Johnny Mercer.
